President Zelensky: 20 Points And 90% Completed. Meaning Two Points Unresolved. There Are 4 Points Unresolved- Territory, Security, Compensation, EU Membership. The Math Does Not Add Up.

Volodymyr Zelensky, President of Ukraine (2019-2024; term extended due to imposition of martial law in 2022), wrongly believes the current incarnation of a twenty-point Russian Federation-Ukraine War Peace Plan is “90% ready” and the remaining 10% will “determine the fate of peace, the fate of Ukraine and Europe.”  

Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017-2021 and 2025-2029), does not believe it.   

Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation (2000-2008 and 2012-2030), does not believe it either. 

Look at math.  If the peace plan includes twenty (20) points, then each point would usually equal five percent.  Ninety percent of twenty is eighteen.  According to the math of President Zelensky, there are two points searching for agreement. 

Yet, there are at least four (4) points for which there is no agreement (and when there seems to be it is not) among the currently-represented parties: Government of Ukraine, Trump-Vance Administration (2025-2029), twenty-seven country member Brussels, Belgium-based European Union (EU), thirty-two country member Brussels, Belgium-based North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), approximately thirty-member country “Coalition of the Willing” (better described as Coalition of the Uncertain And Unwilling To Commit) which supports the government of Ukraine, and other countries. 

• EU: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden.

• NATO: United States, United Kingdom, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Albania, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, Estonia, Romania, Germany, Slovakia, Greece, Slovenia, Hungary, Spain, Turkiye, Latvia, and North Macedonia, Sweden. 

The four remaining points for which there is no agreement are: Territory (how much the government of the Russian Federation retains); Security Guarantees (attempting to ensure the current government of the Russian Federation or future government of the Russian Federation does not return for additional territory; governments signing-on to any guarantees will make certain to provide a means to avoid them); Compensation/Restitution (there are approximately US$320 billion in assets of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation frozen since 24 February 2022 which is supposed to be used for the reconstruction of Ukraine, but some of which is already used to fund the budget of Ukraine, fund military expenditures of Ukraine, and fund other assistance, including loans to the government of Ukraine; the government of Ukraine estimates reconstruction of the internationally-recognized territory of Ukraine will cost approximately US$800 billion; the government of the Russian Federation will file lawsuits to retrieve the funds); and EU Membership (the government of Ukraine wants a guarantee of membership and a guarantee as to an expedited membership process of two years neither of which will happen). 

Is the issue of Territory worth 5% of the total?  No.  The issue of territory when weighed is at least 70% and maybe more of the total importance of all the issues.  That leaves perhaps 30% or maybe less for the other issues.  Security Guarantees then becoming the most important.  If the rules of math could be suspended, and 100% became 200%, then each issue could have more weight.  But they will not be suspended, and politicians will not suspend them.  

Lastly, regardless of whatever twenty-point peace plan is adopted and then presented to the government of the Russian Federation- they too, meaning President Putin, gets a vote.  

And his vote is weighed far more than the votes of everyone else.  Why?  He controls the territory that the government of Ukraine and its supporters want returned.   

As President Trump best appreciates, the Russian Federation-Ukraine War was first about real estate because absent the armed forces of the Russian Federation controlling real estate within the internationally-recognized territory of Ukraine, achieving other objectives by the government of the Russian Federation become moot. 

On 24 February 2026, citizens of Ukraine will begin their fifth year of engaged in a war with the armed forces of the Russian Federation.  

• On 24 February 2022, the armed forces of the Russian Federation invaded and further invaded the territory of Ukraine in what President Putin defined first as a Special Military Operation (SMO) and on 22 December 2022 defined as a war.  The initial invasion of Ukraine by the armed forces of the Russian Federation was in part from the territory of Belarus.    

• The war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine did not commence on 24 February 2022.  The roots began their trajectories on 20 February 2014 when the armed forces of the Russian Federation invaded the Crimean Peninsula and the area known as the Donbas Region (Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast).  

• As of 1 January 2026, the armed forces of the Russian Federation control approximately 19.5% of the internationally-recognized territory of Ukraine.  100% of the Crimean Peninsula.  Approximately 99% of Luhansk Oblast.  Approximately 83% of Donetsk Oblast.  Approximately 75% of Kherson Oblast.  Approximately 75% of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.  Very small portions (less than 1%) within Kharkiv Oblast, Mykolaiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Sumy Oblast.

From SearchLight.vc